Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 1342.043953 1474.879698 1610.419635 1758.787510 1916.350941 2078.416354 2257.437567
2025-05-04 1119.418816 1313.792468 1520.798056 1756.531656 2016.403173 2293.044912 2608.695494
2025-05-11 970.491570 1198.382854 1449.105183 1743.047658 2075.849392 2438.690790 2861.892190
2025-05-18 872.937550 1125.755184 1411.622461 1754.870843 2151.912989 2593.006725 3116.289077
2025-05-25 782.100874 1050.757268 1362.374656 1744.771095 2195.644200 2704.879656 3317.944659
2025-06-01 722.269870 1006.483036 1343.637613 1765.229884 2270.474302 2849.068612 3554.156928
2025-06-08 652.963752 944.653424 1298.654324 1749.684279 2298.902163 2936.329790 3722.204535
2025-06-15 619.316930 924.551068 1302.054140 1790.430659 2392.802928 3099.396650 3978.555164
2025-06-22 574.234101 886.198503 1279.735316 1796.939305 2443.257154 3209.569702 4171.790578
2025-06-29 529.167183 844.597786 1250.481132 1792.274039 2477.997752 3299.483461 4340.044817
2025-07-06 467.920586 776.922201 1183.791605 1736.625752 2446.428785 3306.609816 4406.756360
2025-07-13 458.313446 779.949202 1209.518897 1799.538607 2563.652246 3496.032204 4695.354845
2025-07-20 436.371238 764.682205 1210.580780 1830.789060 2642.042177 3639.764493 4931.521119
2025-07-27 404.139410 732.544141 1187.196505 1828.619090 2676.995826 3729.496392 5101.957251
2025-08-03 370.794200 696.445861 1156.371333 1814.751699 2695.430610 3797.611881 5245.160863
2025-08-10 348.547772 675.580551 1145.588844 1826.908881 2747.085534 3907.265376 5440.170916
2025-08-17 321.212794 644.955656 1119.338132 1816.523904 2768.000273 3977.242224 5585.266485
2025-08-24 305.105478 631.002284 1116.280434 1837.559942 2830.280375 4100.061647 5797.294453
2025-08-31 279.951704 600.641091 1087.695112 1821.575905 2841.958270 4157.149861 5925.834841
2025-09-07 271.959072 598.157329 1100.174299 1863.468916 2931.843361 4315.775354 6184.275179
2025-09-14 255.509258 580.235550 1088.497882 1870.159965 2973.416504 4411.437459 6362.508337
2025-09-21 237.411902 558.191463 1069.473238 1865.363977 2998.613868 4485.348737 6512.825588
2025-09-28 208.703030 515.083870 1015.791060 1808.148153 2949.755266 4460.465311 6534.600530